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The Electoral Race
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I keep seeing polls showing "2 point leads" or "dead heats" quoting raw percentages for the Presidential candidates, as if this were a general election without an electoral college.

The raw vote doesn't matter. At all. And yet most news stories cover it that way, which is patently stupid.

However, every morning on C-SPAN, a guy named Chuck Todd from The Hotline, gives an electoral college update. This morning, Slate has the current tally, and it ain't even close:

321 Electoral Votes
182 solid, 139 close

217 Electoral Votes
153 solid, 64 close

The debates are yet to come (the first this Thursday), but unless Bush lays out a line of coke on the podium and snorts it up, I don't see the debates really changing many minds.

This election, while not technically a landslide, damn sure doesn't even look like it's going to be close, if you look at the only stats that really matter, the electoral races state-by-state.

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