Was invited out to dinner two blocks away -- well, we have no mass transit here in NYC (historic) so unless your friends live close it's a long soggy walk. (Great meatloaf, thanks guys!) It was barely raining when I left them so I went down by the river. An hour and a half after high tide, and the river's smooth and calm but as high as I've ever seen it. It'll recede now until about 1 am, then start to rise again just as the wind and rain pick up. High tide in the morning will be about 6 hours after the winds start averaging above 40 mph. I can't see any way the water won't rise above the seawall. When it does the storm sewers may well be overwhelmed. No catastrophe I can see, though Con Ed is going to cut power to substations that are likely to flood. But I think we'll have a lot of water in the streets.

Stay tuned.